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But don’t quote me a damned IRR. I hate hearing about a $43 billion market, and even more so when you present a sales forecast validated by getting some percentage of that market. Most investors hate the forecasts that start with a huge number and take some small percentage of that number as potential sales.
In all these cases, capital is provided to fuel forecasted growth without creating a commitment to a particular vision for future funding rounds, exit goals, and associated blitzscaling. Yes, via conversion rights at a valuation cap. Yes, via conversion rights at a valuation cap. 20-30% is a common target IRR for investors.
If you look at the spreadsheet, you will see that the “Required Rate of Return” is expressed as an IRR. Internal Rates of Return naturally compound, so a 50% IRR is 7.59 (If you plug in an IRR of 58.5% Internal Rates of Return naturally compound, so a 50% IRR is 7.59 times at 5 years and 11.39
Or if you’re a VC raising from LPs you have to list all of your deals, your investment value, your carrying value, your multiples, your IRRs, TVPIs, DPIs, etc along with net cashflows plus your previous LPAs. Investors love to be able to see what you told them in forecasts in prior years and then compare with how you actually performed.
If you want to learn about how to do simple forecasting and trend analysis, please see the official forecast function in Excel post on the Microsoft website, and this handy tutorial on trend lines and forecasting in excel. Outcomes of the conversations with your Finance team and Sr. And other such things.
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