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It is one of the most useful methods for establishing the pre-moneyvaluation of pre-revenue startup ventures. Return on Investment (ROI) = Terminal (or Harvest) Value ÷ Post-moneyValuation. (in Then: Post-moneyValuation = Terminal Value ÷ Anticipated ROI. The Dave Berkus Method.
I’ve been preaching the “don’t get ahead of your inherent valuation&# message for nearly 10 years. million post-moneyvaluation with no revenue. We had companies pitching us that had almost no revenue at all and they were raising $10-15 million in capital at a $40-50 million pre-moneyvaluation.
When you raise larger rounds there is more “due diligence,” which includes: calling customers, looking at financial metrics, doing cohort analysis (looking for trends like changes in churn rates), evaluating competitor positioning and understanding more of the competency of your executive team.
There were no metrics. Him: On metrics. Revenue multiple? If we priced it based on any metrics your company would likely be worth less than 7 figures at your A round. Him: But when I raised my first round we didn’t know how to price the company. So a convertible note was easier. How will you price the next round?
From the start we said that we would never make a decision as to what features to build or what products to sell based on revenue alone, rather we would focus on things that make our customers smile and by doing so lots and lots of revenue will fall out over time. 10M post-moneyvaluation = $100M target.
There were no metrics. Him: On metrics. Revenue multiple? If we priced it based on any metrics your company would likely be worth less than 7 figures at your A round. How do you think they’ll feel if your next round is at a $50 million postmoneyvaluation and their hard-earned $25,000 is worth 0.05% of your company?
So whereas seed rounds five years ago may have been less than a million dollars on a pre-moneyvaluation of three or four million, today''s seed is up and over a million and usually closer to two million, with postmoneyvaluations nearing $10 million. If you''re worried about the runway, try doing less things.
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